By Gareth
        Jones
        
        
        March/April
        1935
        
        
         Thousands of Islands
        with sandy shores lined with palms a land where every sunset is a
        Turneresque splendour, where little negritos - dwarf Negroes – scamper
        away at the sight of foreigners, where in the south even fez-covered
        Mohammedans live and where there is a nucleus of civilisation in the
        capital city, Manila — such are the Philippines, which were conquered
        by the Americans from Spain in 1898. 
        
         
        Since
        that date, although, they have been pampered and petted by the Americans
        to such an extent that they now have the highest standard of living in
        Asia, the Filipino politicians have been crying for independence until
        the United States Congress granted it to them. 
        
         
        For ten
        years the islands are to be a Commonwealth, and then in about 1946 a,
        new nation, having east off the “shackles” - shackles of velvet and
        gold, in my view - of American domination will rise in, the most
        strategic and central point of the Western Pacific; the- Philippines
        Republic will be born. 
        
         
        I
        arrived not many hours after President Roosevelt had signed the Constitution
        giving ultimate freedom to the Filipinos, who are mainly of the Malay
        rate. “What rejoicing there will be”! 
        
         
        I
        reflected “I shall witness the ecstasy of one of the only nations in
        the world, if not the only nation, which has attained independence
        without fighting. I shall see the unique example of a great Power, which
        has given absolute freedom, to a colon.  There is no parallel to
        this in the history of colonialism.  What joy I shall see!” 
        
         
        I made
        my way through the city of Manila watched the, high pony-drawn
        two-wheeled carriages admired the vast coloured puffs which the women
        wear over their shoulders and over the tops of their arms, and was
        surprised to see the men wearing delicately-hued shirts with designs of
        flowers and of leaves upon them.   
        
         
        No Joy in Freedom 
        
        
        I
        called upon some of the leading politicians, upon journalists, upon
        consuls, and upon, American businessmen, I soon learned that there is no
        joy in the Philippines at the coming of freedom, that American
        politicians have treated the Islands with ruthlessness and
        unscrupulousness, that Congress merely passed the Act granting freedom
        to the Philippines in order to get rid of Filipino competition in sugar,
        cordage, coconut oil (from which margarine is made) and other products,
        and that everyone looks to the next 20 years with terror.       
        
        
         
        The
        Filipinos are quaking with dread at a future without American help, and
        they realise now that “independence” was a politicians’ parrot-cry
        to arouse the emotions of the ignorant masses. 
        
         
        Several
        of those to whom I talked during my stay in the Philippines said to me,
        “You come from Wales?  That is the home of one of the greatest
        authorities on the Philippines, Mr Ifor Powell, now at Barry.  Few
        people in the world have such a minute knowledge of our problems. 
        His library on the Philippines as one of the best ever collected. 
        He will be able to tell you that absolute freedom offers no bright
        prospect for the Filipinos.” 
        
         
        Fear of Japan
         Why,
        then, do the Filipinos fear independence when they have been crying for
        it for years? 
        
         
        The
        first reason is the belief that Japan will step in and conquer the
        Islands. 
        
         
        “We
        will be giving up dependence upon America and merely exchanging it for
        dependence upon Japan,” stated one Filipino to me.  “The
        Japanese will dominate us even if they do not conquer us in a military
        way.  There will be Japanese commercial penetration, which will be
        so thorough that we will not be able to call our souls our own.” 
        
         
        The
        British at Manila and in the Far East share this fear of Japan. 
        The British are alarmed at the Americans leaving the Philippines. 
        
         
        “ It
        will mean that Japan will have complete mastery of the Western Pacific
        and will control the routes to Australia and to the Dutch East Indies. 
        It will place the Japanese only a short distance from the oilfields of
        Royal Dutch in Borneo.” 
        
         
        Even if
        the Japanese do not enter the Philippines, the Filipinos fear an
        economic catastrophe it they are left to their own resources. 
        
         
        At
        present they have Free Trade with America and they send 86 per cent, of
        their exports to the United States.  
        
         
        High Tariffs 
        
        
        They
        are gradually to have high tariffs placed upon their goods entering
        America until they will find their market closed.  
        
         
        If the
        Americans do not buy their sugar and coconut oil and cordage they will
        be ruined.  The sugar Industry is faced with doom, because it
        depends entirely on the American market, which it will lose if high
        tariffs are placed upon Filipino sugar. 
        
         
        This
        economic disaster which every-body prophesies for the Philippines will,
        bring internal trouble, and in the Filipino Constitution vast powers are
        given to the future President to deal with disorder.   
        
         
        Bloodshed
        and rioting are foreseen when independence comes, because on the sugar
        estates and in the towns thousands will be thrown out of employment
        through the loss of the present free trade market in America. 
        
         
        It is
        feared that this disorder will have an effect upon the Roman Catholic
        Church, which is immensely rich in the Philippines, and owns estates
        companies and banks. 
        
         
        Battle Against Church
         
        
        
        “The
        Philippines may become another Mexico or Spain, and there may be a
        battle against the wealth of the Church, and even confiscation of the
        Church lands,” was a prophecy often made to me.   Many Roman
        Catholics fear the day when American protection is withdrawn and when
        the cry: “Down with the Pope may reverberate even in areas which are
        now almost entirely Roman Catholic.
         
        
         
        The
        loss of democracy and the creation of a dictatorship are feared, if the
        Filipinos gain their freedom.  “We are accustomed to be ruled in
        an absolutist way. We will become the next dictatorship.”  Those
        are remarks one often hears from responsible authorities in the
        Philippines.
         
        
         
        The
        prospects are therefore bleak - a probable economic crash in 10 years
        time, a coming dictatorship, fear of bloodshed, and, in addition, a
        large educated class of doctors and lawyers without scope for their
        activities.
         
        
         
        Thus
        Filipinos, regretting their former zeal for freedom, hope that some link
        with the United States will be maintained.  “What we want is
        political freedom, but an economic association with America,” they
        say.  
        
         
        Link May be Maintained
        
        Perhaps
        the link will yet be maintained, they say, because there are still 10
        years before the Republic is declared. 
        
         
        The
        United States may realise the immense mineral wealth of the Philippines,
        the recently discovered vast deposits of chromite, so valuable for war
        materials, the uses of coconut oil in making bombs, and the richness of
        the iron ore, which is said to be of the highest quality in the Far
        East. 
        
         
        There
        is a chance that America, rather than let these essentials for war be
        controlled by Japan, will keep her grip on the Philippines. 
        
         
        The
        decision will depend on Washington’s answer to the question: “ Will
        the United States remain in the Far East?“  
     
     
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