by
        Gareth Jones
        
        
        Bangkok,
        Siam. 
        
        
        The
        recent Japanese invasion moves in North China have again drawn the
        attention of observers in the Far East to plans of Japanese expansion
        and the fear is often expressed that Japan is extending her sway not
        only over parts of China, but over distant regions such as Siam. 
        It is a commonplace of club-room conversations that Japanese influence
        is spreading so rapidly among the Siamese of the new revolutionary
        regime as to endanger Britain’s control over the path from the Pacific
        to Asia, and the old Kra Canal rumour, which the Japanese are said to
        wish to build a canal through the Isthmus of Kra, thus shortening by
        about two days the route between China and India and curtailing the
        usefulness of Singapore. 
        
         
        This
        fear of a Siam dominated by Japan has even led the Times of India to
        write on April 11th, 1935: “India has this great interest - that the
        establishment of Japanese economic hegemony ever Siam would bring a new
        international influence into an area which is contiguous with the
        frontier of Burma.  In the past India’s foreign and defence
        policies have been dictated by considerations of the risk attaching to
        the North West frontier, where first the Russian menace and later, the
        Afghan unrest were present.  Should a new militant power establish
        itself on the eastern border of Burma India’s foreign and defence
        policies will need radical revision.” 
        
         
        A
        problem, which is capable of changing the whole military and foreign
        policy of India and of costing Britain many millions of pounds in
        defence schemes, needs careful consideration.  During a stay in
        Siam I heard the views of the leading foreign and Siamese authorities on
        the problem of Japanese influence and for the reasons I shall set down,
        I came to the conclusion that Japanese control in Siam is a myth; that
        Japanese penetration has been greatly exaggerated and that while there
        are many signs of a rapidly growing friendship between the Siamese and
        the Japanese, talk of building of the Kra Canal and of Japanese
        domination of the route India is little more than sensational smoke room
        gossip. 
        
         
        The
        nationalism, which inspires the present rulers of Siam, is not of a
        type, which would allow them to abandon their control of affairs to
        Japanese and for reasons of personal power and sensitiveness.  They
        are jealous of their grip over politics; “Siam for the Siamese is a
        far more potent slogan than “Asia for the Asiatics”, and while there
        are some supporters of “Pan Asianism” the vision of most young
        Siamese is still limited to their own fatherland.  Strategic
        reasons such as their wedged-in position between British territory,
        British Malaya and Burma, and French Indo-China prevent the Siamese
        rulers from placing too great strategic stress on Japan many thousand
        miles away. 
        
         
        Within
        Siam there is a large Chinese population, powerful in its control over
        business life, which would lead the Siamese to hesitate in adopting
        too readily Japanese advice.  In spite of’ the usual absence of
        national feeling among Chinese and of their disregard of what happens
        away from their own province, there was a considerable boycott of
        Japanese goods by Chinese in Bangkok, and Chinese servants in some
        British and American families were known break any Japanese crockery
        they found in their master’s houses. 
        
         
        In
        informed circles alarm about the building of the Kra Canal is held to be
        unjustified, and rather humorous.  It would be impossible to raise
        the capital in London or New York for such a great undertaking, while
        Tokyo even if it were a great monetary centre has too many financial
        problems at home and in Manchuria to be able to spare money for the
        Canal.  Should the unlikely occur and the Canal be built, the dues
        would be so heavy that few shipping companies would use the Canal in
        order to save two days voyage, and take a route which would make them
        lose many valuable freights in the rich free-trade entrepot of
        Singapore.  The Kra Canal is thus dismissed with a gesture of
        amusement by reliable observes in Singapore and Siam. 
        
         
        Finance
        is a final barrier to Japanese control over Siam.  There have been
        British financial advisers since 1896 and the Siamese currency is linked
        to sterling.  Siamese financing is centred in London and there is
        little likelihood of the Siamese rulers exchanging the solid rock of
        City support for the shifting sand of a Yen backing. 
        
         
        While
        the scare a Japanese grip over Siam may be dismissed as sensational,
        there is no doubt about the growing friendship between Siam and Japan. 
        Young Siamese look with respect upon the achievements of the rising
        Asiatic island empire and say: “We want to be the Japan of the
        South.”  A leading Japanese official in Bangkok said to me:
        “The Siamese regard Japan as an elder brothers.  To them Japan is
        an example of a country that has freed itself and is progressing
        rapidly.  We are, however, not a leader but a mentor and it is
        right that we play a big part among the Asiatic peoples.  Thus the
        youth here say: “If only we could do what the Japanese have done.” 
        
         
        In
        the last two years there has been an increase in the intercourse between
        the Nations, due largely to the cheapness of Japan.  A number of
        students have gone to Japan to study and find that the travel1ing
        expenses, university fees and the cost of living are lower than in
        Eng1and.  Thus a Siamese student can study for a year in Japan
        including travel for rough1y £120, while a year’s study at a British
        University, including travel, will cost at least £300. 
        
         
        The
        depreciated yen has been a most important link between Siam and Japan
        leading to an increase of travel between the two countries.  Japan
        has received this year a Siamese parliamentary commission, while prison
        experts from Bangkok and elsewhere have studied Japanese treatment of
        criminals.  Abandoning the tradition that Britain shall train the
        young naval officers of Siam, the Siamese Government has this year sent
        a number of naval cadets for training in the Japanese fleet. 
        
         
        Race
        and religion are other bonds between the two peoples, which are both
        Buddhist.  The Siamese, while first and foremost nationalistic,
        are none the less growing conscious of being Asiatic, and the Siamese
        Expeditionary Force witnessed in France during the War the spectacle of
        a Europe of blood and. hunger.  There has been a decline,
        therefore, in the esteem paid to Europeans and a decrease in the Western
        experts.  The Siamese State railways, which formerly had many
        British experts and foremen has today, I was told, only one British
        employee.  Japanese experts are increasing although there is no
        Japanese of the rank of adviser.  Japanese cotton experts have
        been engaged and there are Japanese officers in the Siamese Army. 
        
         
                   
        Another sign of friendship is Siam is that refrained from the vote
        against Japan at the League of Nations meeting, which condemned
        Japan’s action in Manchuria in March 1933.  Siam was alone in her
        refusal to vote.  Moreover the news agency, which mainly supplies
        the Siamese newspapers, is the official, Japanese agency, Rengo; a fact,
        which tends to increase the stress laid upon Japan’s importance.
         
        
         
        It
        is in trade, however, that Japan is advancing in Siam.  Imports
        direct from the United Kingdom declined from l22, 750,000 bahts
        (approximately 11 bahts to a £) in 1932 to l0, 866,675 bahts in 1934,
        while Japanese direct imports increased from 5,850,000, bahts in 1932
        (the year of the Chinese boycott) to I4, 648,969 bahts in 1934.  In
        1929-30 British imports into Siam were more than double the imports from
        Japan to Siam.  By 1934 Japanese imports had exceeded British
        imports.  To illustrate the advance of the Japanese in textile
        imports the statistics on singlets are revealing.  In year 1932-3
        Japan imported 1,725 dozen singlets, while the next year she imported
        105,049 dozen singlets into Siam. (These figures omit the Japanese goods
        imported from Singapore and Hong Kong and from the Japanese owned mills
        in China.  Siamese trade figures are so complex, however, that it
        is dangerous to rely too thoroughly upon them.  The general fact
        stands out that Japan is going ahead rapidly: has surpassed Great
        Britain as a supplier of Siam and now is the main source of the imports
        of cotton goods, wireless accessories, cement, bicycles, paper,
        artificial silk, silk and some other goods.  A store selling
        Japanese  “Datsun” cars at a lower price than the Austin Seven
        has been opened in the main street of Bangkok: a sign that Japan is
        entering into the Motor car export trade, although last year she
        imported only one car into Siam.  Japanese bicycles imported into
        Siam in 1932-3 numbered 947, while one year later they numbered 5,246
        compared with 469 British bicycles in the later year.  A few months
        ago Japanese contractors were given large orders for railway bridges in
        the face of serious competition from number of European firms. 
        
         
        Friendly
        though the social and trade relations between the two countries may be
        growing it would be rash, however, to leap to the facile conclusion that
        Japan dominates Siamese policy.  The new nationalist regime is not
        likely to throw itself into the arms of a foreign government.  
        
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 GARETH  JONES
       (1905 -35)  |